Hubdub Predictions – Obama Inauguration Attendance
A couple of Rogi Hubdub predictions, just to finish off the day;
(Graph will update live with each page load until settlement.)
I have two separate predictions on this market. The first, which I made last Friday, is for H$50 at 9.93% chance and the second, made today, is for H$100 at 25.06% chance. Both of these predictions are that the attendance at the Obama inauguration will be 1,500,000 people or more.
Risky bets, but I’ll see how I get on.
[Update: I have just cashed both of these predictions in early as they were already up to 91% chance, thus I had already made myself a tidy H$1,000+ and risking that profit further made no sense. So these turned out to be extremely profitable predictions. Excellent.]
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